Health & longevityIdea 24 · 2 min read

Eligible heavy smokers should have an annual low-dose chest CT

Grade A evidenceValue: High
In plain language

For eligible heavy smokers, annual low-dose CT reduced lung cancer deaths by 20% and overall deaths by 6.7% compared with chest X-rays alone. The tradeoff is further testing and worry after suspicious results.

MoneySmall cost
TimeQuick and easy
EffortLittle effort

What it takes

In China, RMB 200–400 per scan, taking about 10 minutes. Also account for follow-up testing after false alarms and the anxiety while waiting.

What you may gain

The US NLST randomized trial enrolled 53,454 people aged 55–74 with at least 30 pack-years of smoking and, if former smokers, no more than 15 years since quitting. One pack-year means one pack daily for one year. Low-dose CT reduced lung cancer mortality by 20.0% relative to chest radiography (95% CI 6.8–26.7) and all-cause mortality by 6.7% (95% CI 1.2–13.6).

Context & considerations

This recommendation applies only to high-risk smokers. In the same trial, 24.2% of low-dose CT examinations produced suspicious findings, 96.4% of which were false positives. The source cautions that screening nonsmokers this way may amount to paying for anxiety.

Research & references

National Lung Screening Trial Research Team (2011). Reduced Lung-Cancer Mortality with Low-Dose Computed Tomographic Screening. New England Journal of Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa1102873